波士顿爆炸事件将视频监控设备推上成长快车

如果历史事件可作为衡量基准，那么日前在波士顿发生的恐怖攻击行动，将带动对于安全与监控设备的支出增加。根据市场研究公司IHS表示，这场本月稍早发生于波士顿马拉松赛的悲惨爆炸事件，可能刺激对于视频监控设备的支出大幅增加。 根据来自IHS IMS的最新预测研究，全球视频监控设备收入预计将在2016年时增加到205亿美元，较2010年同期的96亿美元大幅成长114%。而在波士顿发生爆炸事件后，IHS认为，这一成长态势可能更为显著(该公司目前正修订其预测数字)。 IHS指出，征诸以往历史显示在发生严重的恐怖政击行动后，如波士顿马拉松爆炸事件，均带动了政府在安全方面的支出大幅提升。 视频监控在某些地方几乎已经是无所不在了，多到甚至引发对于侵犯个人稳私的争议。然而，随着这项技术变得越来越便宜，以及更多起严重的恐布攻击行动发生在全世界各地，很显然地，有越来越多的地方都需要维持全天候的视频监控。 IHS视频监控部门资深经理Paul Everet表示，视频监控市场取决于一些原因错综复杂且变幻莫测的情况，是很难或无法预料的，包括经济情势、政府支出以及恐怖主义事件。

全球视讯监控设备市场成长预测(以产品类别计；单位：百万美元)（来源：IHS，2012/04）
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“虽然现在要说波士顿爆炸事件将起到什么作用还为时过早，但从过去的事件来看──如911以及伦敦地铁爆炸案，均导致政府增加公共场所的视频监控支出，特别是在交通运输部门。”Everett说。 政府的资金与立法对于整个视频监控支出总额发挥重要作用，不过经济因素也是一项重要的考虑因素。IHS指出，美国联邦紧急事务管理署(FEMA)已经批准了支出高达数百万美元的11项实体安全设备与视频监控提案补助。 HIS认为新技术也有助于推动视频监控支出成长。目前视频监控市场正经历从类比到连网解决方案的新技术过渡，以实现基于网路的控制与安全监控。预计在2014年以前，全球基于网络的视频监控市场将快速攀升至70亿美元，首度超越类比部份的65亿美元。 编译：Susan Hong 参考原文：Boston bombings likely to boost video surveillance gear sales，by Dylan McGrath

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{pagination} The tragic bombings that took place during the Boston Marathon earlier this month are likely to spur a dramatic increase in spending on video surveillance equipment, according to market research firm IHS. According to the latest forecast from IMS Research—now part of IHS--worldwide revenue for video surveillance is projected to rise to $20.5 billion in 2016, up a resounding 114 percent from $9.6 billion in 2010. Following the bombings, IHS said the growth may be even more dramatic (the firm is currently in the process of revising its forecast). History has shown that high-profile terrorism incidents such as the Boston Marathon bombings can drive increased government spending on security, IHS noted. Video surveillance is already near ubiquitous in some places, much to the chagrin of privacy advocates. But as the technology gets less expensive and more high-profile terrorist attacks are carried out throughout the world, the simple fact is that more and more places are going to be under constant video surveillance. That's just the way it is. "The growth outlook of the video surveillance industry is subject to significant variances," said Paul Everett, senior manager of video surveillance at IHS. According to Everett, the video surveillance market is dependent upon the vagaries of several intertwined factors that are difficult or impossible to predict, including economic conditions, government spending and terrorism incidents. "While it’s too early to tell exactly what impact the Boston bombing will have, past events—like 9/11 and the London Underground bombings—have led to increased government spending on video surveillance for public spaces, particularly in the transport sector," Everett said. Government funding and legislation play a major role in total video-surveillance spending, even though economic factors are also an important consideration according to IHS. The U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) has issued 11 grants for physical-security equipment and video surveillance that have generated millions of dollars of spending, the firm said. New technologies are also contributing to rising spending on video surveillance, IHS said. Currently the market is undergoing a transition from analog to network solutions that enable network-based control and the monitoring of security and surveillance. By 2014, the global market for network-based video surveillance will climb to $7 billion, surpassing for the first time ever the analog segment at $6.5 billion, according to IHS.

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